Combat Edge Intelligence

Marlon Sims vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-4-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Shamrock Submission Fight TeamTeamblooM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marlon SimsNow 1457
If they win+25→ 1482
If they lose-23→ 1434
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+15→ 1485
If they lose-17→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marlon SimsTaisei Mizusugi
1400145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi78%
Marlon Sims 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 78% favorite over Marlon Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1457 vs 1470), separated by just 13 points.

Marlon Sims enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marlon Sims finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.