MarQuel Mederos vs Michael Dufort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-1Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamH2O MMA· 1648 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
MarQuel MederosMichael Dufort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dufort56%
MarQuel Mederos 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 56% favorite over MarQuel Mederos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1716), separated by just 1 points.
Michael Dufort enters on a 5-fight win streak.
MarQuel Mederos finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dufort 94%.
Michael Dufort carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.