MarQuel Mederos vs Ylies Djiroun
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-1Record26-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Factory XTeamMarseille Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
MarQuel MederosYlies Djiroun
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ylies Djiroun63%
MarQuel Mederos 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ylies Djiroun a 63% favorite over MarQuel Mederos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans MarQuel Mederos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.
Ylies Djiroun enters on a 3-fight win streak.
MarQuel Mederos finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ylies Djiroun 65%.
Ylies Djiroun carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.