Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Batur vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78.7"Reach80"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
UFD GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Martin BaturNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
13%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Martin BaturRodrigo Nascimento
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (33%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento59%
Martin Batur 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 59% favorite over Martin Batur in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Martin Batur enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Batur finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.