Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Bravo vs Richie Smullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record15-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
38,0"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Entram GymTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Martin BravoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Richie SmullenNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
40%
Strike accuracy
78%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
51%
Strike defense
65%
2.60
Takedown avg.
8.49
36%
Takedown accuracy
67%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Martin BravoRichie Smullen
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
6 (46%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Richie Smullen55%
Martin Bravo 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richie Smullen a 55% favorite over Martin Bravo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Martin Bravo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Bravo finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.