Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Buday vs Shamil Gaziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
77"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Spartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Shamil Gaziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Martin Buday carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+17→ 1717
If they lose-15→ 1685
Shamil GazievNow 1730
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-17→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
53%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.92
56%
Strike defense
45%
0.15
Takedown avg.
1.06
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
93%
Takedown defense
83%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Martin BudayShamil Gaziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (44%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Gaziev71%
Martin Buday 29%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 71% favorite over Martin Buday in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Shamil Gaziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1700, a 30-point edge.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Buday finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.