Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Buday vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
77"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight236 lbs
Spartakus Fight GymTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Łukasz Brzeski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+9→ 1709
If they lose-23→ 1677
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+23→ 1558
If they lose-9→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
53%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.43
20%
Takedown accuracy
33%
93%
Takedown defense
37%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Martin BudayŁukasz Brzeski
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (13%)
Submission
2 (22%)
7 (44%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday92%
Łukasz Brzeski 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 92% favorite over Łukasz Brzeski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1535, a 165-point edge.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Martin Buday finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.