Martin Day vs Timur Valiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
40,5"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight138 lbs
Hawaii Elite MMATeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Timur Valiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Martin Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1573
If they lose-9→ 1541
If they win+9→ 1717
If they lose-23→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Martin DayTimur Valiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timur Valiev78%
Martin Day 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 78% favorite over Martin Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Timur Valiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1550, a 158-point edge.
Martin Day enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Martin Day finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 37%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.