Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Kampmann vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record36-20-2
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach42,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

Nate Marquardt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+17→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1619
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
42%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
62%
Strike defense
56%
1.86
Takedown avg.
1.87
41%
Takedown accuracy
51%
78%
Takedown defense
71%
2.05
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Martin KampmannNate Marquardt
1600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
6 (32%)
Submission
15 (42%)
4 (21%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Kampmann60%
Nate Marquardt 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 60% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (48%).

Nate Marquardt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1634, a 17-point edge.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Kampmann finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.