Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Kampmann vs Paul Daley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Daley

Paul Daley

“Semtex”

43-18-2WelterweightBFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record43-18-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamSpirit Dojo

What's at stake

Paul Daley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+20→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1622
Paul DaleyNow 1724
If they win+9→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
62%
Strike defense
60%
1.86
Takedown avg.
0.91
41%
Takedown accuracy
40%
78%
Takedown defense
65%
2.05
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Martin KampmannPaul Daley
1600165017001750201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
35 (81%)
6 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (21%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Daley73%
Martin Kampmann 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Daley a 73% favorite over Martin Kampmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Paul Daley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1634, a 90-point edge.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Kampmann finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.