Martin Kampmann vs Rick Story
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record21-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rick Story is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1655
If they lose-11→ 1623
If they win+8→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Martin KampmannRick Story
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Story75%
Martin Kampmann 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Story a 75% favorite over Martin Kampmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Rick Story holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1634, a 110-point edge.
Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Martin Kampmann finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rick Story 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.