Martin Kampmann vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Martin Kampmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Thiago Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615
If they win+14→ 1587
If they lose-10→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Martin KampmannThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Kampmann53%
Thiago Alves 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 53% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Martin Kampmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1573, a 61-point edge.
Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Martin Kampmann finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Martin Kampmann and Thiago Alves share 1 common opponent: Carlos Condit.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.