Combat Edge Intelligence

Marvin Eastman vs Travis Lutter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Travis Lutter
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Travis Lutter

“The Serial Killer”

10-6-0Middleweight

1504Average

Tale of the tape

18-15-1Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
207 lbsWeight185 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamLion's Den Dallas

What's at stake

Marvin Eastman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marvin EastmanNow 1601
If they win+9→ 1610
If they lose-15→ 1586
Travis LutterNow 1504
If they win+31→ 1535
If they lose-17→ 1487

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
35%
Strike accuracy
32%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
42%
Strike defense
43%
0.95
Takedown avg.
1.95
29%
Takedown accuracy
24%
82%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Marvin EastmanTravis Lutter
15001550160020092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
1 (6%)
Submission
7 (70%)
10 (56%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Eastman54%
Travis Lutter 46%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Eastman a 54% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Marvin Eastman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1601 to 1504, a 97-point edge.

Marvin Eastman finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.