Combat Edge Intelligence

Marvin Eastman vs Vitor Belfort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-1Record26-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
207 lbsWeight185 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Vitor Belfort is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marvin Eastman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marvin EastmanNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-8→ 1593
Vitor BelfortNow 1719
If they win+8→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
35%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
42%
Strike defense
51%
0.95
Takedown avg.
1.02
29%
Takedown accuracy
60%
82%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Marvin EastmanVitor Belfort
16001650170017502012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
18 (69%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (12%)
10 (56%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Vitor Belfort76%
Marvin Eastman 24%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Belfort a 76% favorite over Marvin Eastman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Vitor Belfort holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1601, a 118-point edge.

Marvin Eastman finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.