Combat Edge Intelligence

Marwan Rahiki vs Vugar Karamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lions Den AcademyTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marwan RahikiNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Vugar KaramovNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.75
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.75
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marwan RahikiVugar Karamov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
1 (11%)
Submission
9 (43%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Vugar Karamov62%
Marwan Rahiki 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vugar Karamov a 62% favorite over Marwan Rahiki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.

Marwan Rahiki finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vugar Karamov 76%.

Marwan Rahiki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.