Combat Edge Intelligence

Masaaki Satake vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-8-1Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
234 lbsWeight264 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Masaaki Satake carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Masaaki SatakeNow 1407
If they win+19→ 1426
If they lose-13→ 1394
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+20→ 1492
If they lose-28→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Masaaki SatakeSean Rose
140014501500200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose63%
Masaaki Satake 37%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 63% favorite over Masaaki Satake in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1407, a 65-point edge.

Masaaki Satake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.