Masaaki Satake vs Sergio Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-8-1Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
234 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Masaaki Satake carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1426
If they lose-13→ 1394
If they win+20→ 1491
If they lose-28→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Masaaki SatakeSergio Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Martinez65%
Masaaki Satake 35%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 65% favorite over Masaaki Satake in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1407, a 64-point edge.
Masaaki Satake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.