Combat Edge Intelligence

Masakatsu Funaki vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

39-13-2Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
209 lbsWeight264 lbs
All Japan Pro WrestlingTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masakatsu FunakiNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Masakatsu FunakiRenan Ferreira
165017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (13%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
33 (85%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (3%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira71%
Masakatsu Funaki 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 71% favorite over Masakatsu Funaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Masakatsu Funaki's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1673), separated by just 4 points.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Masakatsu Funaki finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.