Masanori Kanehara vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-5Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
40.00Reach70,0"
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Michael McDonald is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Masanori Kanehara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1639
If they lose-11→ 1607
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-21→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Masanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald69%
Masanori Kanehara 31%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 69% favorite over Masanori Kanehara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Michael McDonald holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1618, a 118-point edge.
Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Masanori Kanehara finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.