Combat Edge Intelligence

Masanori Kanehara vs Raulian Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-13-5Record23-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
40.00Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reversal Gym Tachikawa AlphaTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masanori KaneharaNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Raulian PaivaNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.01
63%
Strike defense
49%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0.65
50%
Takedown accuracy
24%
64%
Takedown defense
77%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Masanori KaneharaRaulian Paiva
1650202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
10 (34%)
Submission
3 (13%)
8 (28%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Raulian Paiva52%
Masanori Kanehara 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raulian Paiva a 52% favorite over Masanori Kanehara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

Masanori Kanehara enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Masanori Kanehara finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.