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Combat Edge Intelligence

Masatoshi Ueda vs Santo Curatolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-14-3Record6-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'3"
TBDReach43,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masatoshi UedaNow 1514
If they win+12→ 1526
If they lose-12→ 1502
Santo CuratoloNow 1517
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.40
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.07
Not available
Strike defense
34%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Masatoshi UedaSanto Curatolo
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
4 (18%)
Submission
1 (17%)
15 (68%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Masatoshi Ueda68%
Santo Curatolo 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Masatoshi Ueda a 68% favorite over Santo Curatolo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Santo Curatolo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1514 vs 1517), separated by just 3 points.

Masatoshi Ueda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Santo Curatolo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Masatoshi Ueda finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Santo Curatolo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.