Combat Edge Intelligence

Masayuki Kikuiri vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Never QuitTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masayuki KikuiriNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Masayuki KikuiriTymoteusz Łopaczyk
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Masayuki Kikuiri and Tymoteusz Łopaczyk within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Masayuki Kikuiri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Masayuki Kikuiri finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.