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Combat Edge Intelligence

Masio Fullen vs Niko Ceraglia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masio FullenNow 1548
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
Niko CeragliaNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.46
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
32%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.47
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
69%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Masio FullenNiko Ceraglia
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Masio Fullen56%
Niko Ceraglia 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Masio Fullen a 56% favorite over Niko Ceraglia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1545), separated by just 3 points.

Masio Fullen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Masio Fullen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Niko Ceraglia 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.