Combat Edge Intelligence

Mataeo Garner vs Shane Sobnosky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record9-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Inferno MMATeamFuria MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mataeo GarnerNow 1534
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
Shane SobnoskyNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mataeo GarnerShane Sobnosky
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mataeo Garner and Shane Sobnosky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1536), separated by just 2 points.

Mataeo Garner finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shane Sobnosky 67%.

Shane Sobnosky carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.