Matej Penaz vs Modestino Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reinders MMA· 1603 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRevira Black Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+24→ 1685
If they lose-24→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matej PenazModestino Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestino Rodrigues58%
Matej Penaz 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestino Rodrigues a 58% favorite over Matej Penaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1661), separated by just 4 points.
Matej Penaz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Modestino Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Matej Penaz finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Modestino Rodrigues 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.