Combat Edge Intelligence

Matej Penaz vs Robert Bryczek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matej Penaz
cz

Matej Penaz

“Money”

9-1-0MiddleweightOKMMA

1656Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reinders MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamVeto Team Bielsko-Biala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matej PenazNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Robert BryczekNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
33%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
33%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matej PenazRobert Bryczek
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matej Penaz and Robert Bryczek within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1661), separated by just 5 points.

Matej Penaz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Matej Penaz finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.

Matej Penaz and Robert Bryczek share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Strzelczyk.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win KO/TKO · 2021
Mateusz Strzelczyk
WinKO (Punch) · 2022