Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateo Aguero vs Nelson Rojas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nelson Rojas
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Nelson Rojas

“Dragon”

7-4-0FeatherweightSMMA

1533Average

Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maximos Combat ClubTeamTeam Weichafe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateo AgueroNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Nelson RojasNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mateo AgueroNelson Rojas
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mateo Aguero and Nelson Rojas within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1533), separated by just 4 points.

Nelson Rojas 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.