Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateo Aguero vs Shuichi Kanda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record18-16-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'6"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateo AgueroNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Shuichi KandaNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mateo AgueroShuichi Kanda
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mateo Aguero and Shuichi Kanda within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1524), separated by just 5 points.

Shuichi Kanda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shuichi Kanda 22%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.