Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateus Mendonça vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
40%
Strike accuracy
30%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
30%
Strike defense
56%
2.54
Takedown avg.
5.15
27%
Takedown accuracy
43%
56%
Takedown defense
47%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Mateus MendonçaWilson Reis
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Submission
13 (46%)
3 (27%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateus Mendonça63%
Wilson Reis 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateus Mendonça a 63% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1652), separated by just 4 points.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mateus Mendonça finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.