Mateus Mendonça vs Nate Maness
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record16-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Nate Maness is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mateus Mendonça carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1643
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-20→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mateus MendonçaNate Maness
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Maness63%
Mateus Mendonça 37%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 63% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Nate Maness holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1655, a 83-point edge.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mateus Mendonça finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.