Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateusz Legierski vs Roman Bogatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach39,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Octagon TeamTeamBoets MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateusz LegierskiNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Roman BogatovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mateusz LegierskiRoman Bogatov
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (29%)
Submission
5 (42%)
6 (43%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateusz Legierski66%
Roman Bogatov 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 66% favorite over Roman Bogatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1694), separated by just 2 points.

Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mateusz Legierski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.