Mateusz Legierski vs Yan Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71"Reach73,0"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Octagon TeamTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz LegierskiYan Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Legierski63%
Yan Cabral 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 63% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yan Cabral's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.
Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mateusz Legierski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.
Yan Cabral carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.