Mateusz Rębecki vs Norman Parke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record32-7-1
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
66"Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight200 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNext Generation NI
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz RębeckiNorman Parke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Rębecki62%
Norman Parke 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Rębecki a 62% favorite over Norman Parke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Norman Parke's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1737), separated by just 1 points.
Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mateusz Rębecki finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.