Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Camilo vs Piotr Hallmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69" Reach41,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matheus CamiloNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Piotr HallmannNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
64%
Strike defense
59%
4.43
Takedown avg.
2.55
54%
Takedown accuracy
44%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0.63
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Matheus CamiloPiotr Hallmann
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (18%)
Submission
7 (37%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Camilo70%
Piotr Hallmann 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 70% favorite over Piotr Hallmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.

Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Matheus Camilo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.