Matheus Nicolau vs Rogério Bontorin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-5-1Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamGile Ribeiro Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus NicolauRogério Bontorin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matheus Nicolau and Rogério Bontorin within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1661), separated by just 2 points.
Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matheus Nicolau finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.
Matheus Nicolau and Rogério Bontorin share 2 common opponents: Brandon Royval and Matt Schnell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.