Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Oleksandr Usyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record25-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionheavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach78″
262 lbsWeight233 LBS
CM SystemTeamN/A

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Oleksandr Usyk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508
Oleksandr UsykNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
16 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel52%
Oleksandr Usyk 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 52% favorite over Oleksandr Usyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1500, a 21-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Oleksandr Usyk 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.