Matheus Scheffel vs Oli Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record22-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
CM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamZT Fight Skool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1550
If they lose-12→ 1526
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelOli Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel57%
Oli Thompson 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 57% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Oli Thompson 86%.
Matheus Scheffel and Oli Thompson share 3 common opponents: Szymon Bajor, Darko Stosic and Ante Delija.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.