Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Pat Barry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Barry
us

Pat Barry

“HD”

8-7-0HeavyweightUFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight237 lbs
CM SystemTeamTeam Death Clutch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Pat BarryNow 1525
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
36%
Strike accuracy
52%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.54
47%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelPat Barry
15001550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Barry52%
Matheus Scheffel 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Barry a 52% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1525), separated by just 4 points.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Pat Barry 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.