Matheus Scheffel vs Petera Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
CM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-24→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelPetera Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petera Wilson58%
Matheus Scheffel 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Petera Wilson a 58% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1518), separated by just 6 points.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Petera Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Petera Wilson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.