Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
262 lbsWeight264 lbs
CM SystemTeamTBD

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+27→ 1499
If they lose-21→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelSean Rose
1450150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel56%
Sean Rose 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 56% favorite over Sean Rose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1472, a 49-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.