Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Tim Lajcik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Lajcik
us

Tim Lajcik

“The Bohemian”

7-6-1Heavyweight

1509Average

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record7-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight225 lbs
CM SystemTeamGladiators Training Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Tim LajcikNow 1509
If they win+17→ 1526
If they lose-15→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelTim Lajcik
15001550160020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
5 (29%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Lajcik59%
Matheus Scheffel 41%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Lajcik a 59% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1509), separated by just 12 points.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Tim Lajcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tim Lajcik 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.