Matheus Scheffel vs Tyson Fury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record35-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionheavyweight
6'2"Height6'9"
TBDReach85"
262 lbsWeight254 lbs
CM SystemTeam Jimmy Egan's Boxing Academy
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tyson Fury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matheus Scheffel and Tyson Fury within a point of even.
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1500, a 21-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Fury 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.