Matheus Severino vs Ronan Deegan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record5-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1688 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamÉire Grapple
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matheus SeverinoRonan Deegan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Severino54%
Ronan Deegan 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Severino a 54% favorite over Ronan Deegan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1618), separated by just 3 points.
Ronan Deegan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Matheus Severino finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ronan Deegan 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.