Mathias Poiron vs Morquez Forest
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mathias PoironMorquez Forest
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mathias Poiron54%
Morquez Forest 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mathias Poiron a 54% favorite over Morquez Forest in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1623), separated by just 0 points.
Mathias Poiron finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.