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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mathias Prehofer vs Mike Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record22-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach41,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Roberto Pastuch DojoTeamTop Notch Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mathias PrehoferNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Mike SantiagoNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
Not available
Strike defense
36%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.66
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
54%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Mathias PrehoferMike Santiago
1500155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (13%)
Submission
11 (50%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Santiago61%
Mathias Prehofer 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Santiago a 61% favorite over Mathias Prehofer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mathias Prehofer finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.