Mathieu Chaumont vs Modibo Diakite
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mathieu Chaumont53%
Modibo Diakite 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mathieu Chaumont a 53% favorite over Modibo Diakite in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.
Mathieu Chaumont enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Modibo Diakite enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mathieu Chaumont finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Modibo Diakite 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1554 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFighting Beat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mathieu ChaumontModibo Diakite