Mathieu Chaumont vs Ross Ebanez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record20-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1553 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBJ Penn's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mathieu ChaumontRoss Ebanez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ross Ebanez63%
Mathieu Chaumont 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ross Ebanez a 63% favorite over Mathieu Chaumont in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mathieu Chaumont's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.
Mathieu Chaumont enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ross Ebanez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mathieu Chaumont finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ross Ebanez 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.