Combat Edge Intelligence

Mathieu Greco vs Shane Young

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shane Young
nz

Shane Young

“Smokin'”

13-8-0LightweightUFC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Bali MMATeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mathieu GrecoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Shane YoungNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.46
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
19%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mathieu GrecoShane Young
150015501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
2 (40%)
Submission
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Mathieu Greco60%
Shane Young 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mathieu Greco a 60% favorite over Shane Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mathieu Greco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.