Mathilde Aschenbrenner vs Shauna Bannon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record7-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
TBDHeight5'5"
TBDReach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
NR Fight· 1577 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHolohan Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1598
If they lose-25→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1477 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mathilde AschenbrennerShauna Bannon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shauna Bannon55%
Mathilde Aschenbrenner 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shauna Bannon a 55% favorite over Mathilde Aschenbrenner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mathilde Aschenbrenner's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1566), separated by just 9 points.
Mathilde Aschenbrenner enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shauna Bannon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mathilde Aschenbrenner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shauna Bannon 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.