Mats Nilsson vs Oualy Tandia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mats NilssonOualy Tandia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oualy Tandia59%
Mats Nilsson 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oualy Tandia a 59% favorite over Mats Nilsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.
Mats Nilsson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Oualy Tandia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mats Nilsson finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Oualy Tandia 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.